PAEDIA EXPRESS MULTIMEDIA : 2019 OPINION POLLS DATA BANK OF THE INDIAN ELECTIONS OUTLINED!!!

Opinion polling for the 2019 Indian general election

Background

Opinion polls in India can be controversial. These charges include partisan manipulation.^[1]

Opinion poll methodology has heavily improved and agencies like CSDS have got it absolutely correct on 16 occasions, roughly correct on 7 occasions and wrong on 4 occasions.^[2]

Post-poll surveys, widely published, are fundamentally different from opinion polls.^[3]

Opinion polling

Line graph showing number of seats projected in opinion polls per alliance over time.

Various organisations have carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intentions in India. Results of such polls are displayed in this list. The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous general election, held in April and May 2014, to the present day.

Date published	Polling agency			Others	Lead^[a]	Majority
Date published	Polling agency	NDA	UPA	Others	Lead^[a]	Majority
8 April 2019	Times Now-VMR	279	149	115	130	7
6 April 2019	IndiaTV-CNX	275	126	142	149	3
1 Feb – 4 April 2019	Jan Ki Baat	310	122	111	188	38
Mar 2019	Times Now-VMR	283	135	125	148	11
Mar 2019	News Nation	270	134	139	131	Hung
Mar 2019	RepublicTV–C voter	264	141	138	123	Hung
Mar 2019	IndiaTV-CNX	285	126	132	159	13
Mar 2019	Zee 24 Taas	264	165	114	99	Hung
Feb 2019	VDP Associates	242	148	153	94	Hung
Jan 2019	Times Now-VMR	252	147	144	105	Hung
Jan 2019	ABP News -Cvoter	233	167	143	66	Hung
Jan 2019	India Today -Karvy	237	166	140	67	Hung
Jan 2019	VDP Associates	225	167	150	58	Hung
Dec 2018	India Today	257	146	140	111	Hung
Dec 2018	ABP News – C Voter	247	171	125	76	Hung
Dec 2018	India TV – CNX	281	124	138	157	9
Nov 2018	ABP News – C Voter	261	119	163	142	Hung
Oct 2018	ABP News	276	112	155	164	4
Aug 2018	India Today- Karvy	281	122	140	159	9
May 2018	ABP News-CSDS	274	164	105	110	2
Jan 2018	Republic-CVoter	335	89	119	246	63
Jan 2018	India Today	309	102	132	207	37
April–May 2014	General election results	336	60	113	276	64

Vote share

Date published	Polling agency			Others	Lead
Date published	Polling agency	NDA	UPA	Others	Lead
Mar 2019	News Nation	34%	28%	38%	6%
Mar 2019	ABP News – C voter [1]	41%	31%	28%	10%
Jan 2019	Times Now-VMR	38.7%	32.6%	28.7%	6.1%
Jan 2019	Republic TV - Cvoter	37.6%	32.2%	30.2%	5.4%
Jan 2019	India Today -Karvy	35%	33%	32%	2%
April–May 2014	General election results	36.0%	23.0%	42.0%	13.0%

Polling on politicians

Next Prime Minister

Best Alternative to Narendra Modi amongst the Opposition leaders in 2019 Election

Date published	Polling agency														Can't say	Lead
Date published	Polling agency	Narendra Modi	Rahul Gandhi	Mamata Banerjee	K. Chandrashekar Rao	P. Chidambaram	Akhilesh Yadav	Arvind Kejriwal	Naveen Patnaik	Sharad Pawar	Mayawati	Nitish Kumar	Sonia Gandhi	Mulayam Singh Yadav	Can't say	Lead
Jan 2019	India Today- Karvy	62%	32%	3%	–	3%	3%	–	–	–	7%	–	–	–	12%	34%
Jul 2018	India Today- Karvy		46%	8%	6%	6%	4%	4%	2%	2%	2%	–	–	–	12%	34%
Jan 2018			45%	9%	9%	7%	5%	4%	4%	2%	3%	–	–	–	12%	33%
Jul 2017			21%	4%	6%	4%	–	7%	3%	–	2%	13%	12%	3%	22%	1%
Jan 2017			28%	4%	3%	2%		7%	2%		3%	13%	9%	3%	24%	4%
Aug 2016			23%	4%	4%	2%		12%	3%		3%	13%	9%	3%	21%	2%
Feb 2016			32%	2%	5%	–		10%	1%		3%	8%	15%	2%	15%	17%

Narendra Modi vs Rahul Gandhi

Date published	Polling agency			Lead
Date published	Polling agency	Narendra Modi	Rahul Gandhi	Lead
Jan 2019	India Today	60%	24%	36%
Jan 2019	India TV - CNX	41%	23%	18%
Nov 2018	ABP News- C Voter	56%	36%	20%
Oct 2018	ABP News- CSDS	60%	34%	26%
Jan 2018		66%	28%	38%
2017		69%	26%	43%

Narendra Modi vs Priyanka Gandhi Vadra

Date published	Polling agency			Lead
Date published	Polling agency	Yes	No	Lead
Feb 2019	ABP news - Cvoter	60%	32%	28%

Approval ratings

Economic performance; compared to previous government

Date published	Polling agency			Don't know	Lead
Date published	Polling agency	Better	Worse	Don't know	Lead
Jan 2019	India Today -Karvy	49%	28%	23%	21%
Aug 2018	India Today -Karvy	51%	24%	25%	27%
Jan 2018	India Today -Karvy	56%	21%	23%	34%

Issues

Key Issues

Date published	Polling agency	Unemployment	Price rise	Corruption	Farmers' plight
Jan 2019	India today - Karvy	37%	19%	15%	12%

Farm distress; Low crop causing farm distress

Date published	Polling agency			Don't know	Lead
Date published	Polling agency	Yes	No	Don't know	Lead
Jan 2019	India today - Karvy	65%	25%	10%	40%

Jobs; Enough created

Date published	Polling agency			Don't know	Lead
Date published	Polling agency	Yes	No	Don't know	Lead
Jan 2019	India today - Karvy	42%	46%	12%	4%

Alleged corruption in Rafale deal

Date published	Polling agency	Yes	No	Not aware of deal	Can't say
Jan 2019	India today - Karvy	30%	32%	23%	15%

Statewise opinion polling

Andhra Pradesh (25)

Date published	Polling agency			Lead
Date published	Polling agency	TDP	YSRCP	Lead
08 April 2019	Republic Tv - Cvoter	14	11	3
06 April 2019	IndiaTV-CNX	7	18	11
Jan 2019	Republic Tv - Cvoter	6	19	13

Date published	Polling agency					Lead
Date published	Polling agency	TDP	YSRCP	UPA	NDA	Lead
Apr 2019	Republic Tv - Cvoter	38.5%	36.4%	10.4%	6.5%	2.1%
Jan 2019	Republic Tv - Cvoter	33%	41%	9.8%	7.2%	8%

Arunachal Pradesh (2)

Date published	Polling agency			Lead
Date published	Polling agency	NDA	UPA	Lead
Jan 2019	Republic Tv - Cvoter	2	–	2

Date published	Polling agency			Others	Lead
Date published	Polling agency	NDA	UPA	Others	Lead
Jan 2019	Republic Tv - Cvoter	45.3%	37.6%	17.1%	7.7%

Assam (14)

Date published	Polling agency				Lead
Date published	Polling agency	NDA	UPA	AIUDF	Lead
06 April 2019	IndiaTV-CNX	5	5	2	–
04 April 2019	Republic TV-Jan ki Baat	8	4	1	4
Mar 2019	Times Now-VMR	8	4	2	4
Jan 2019	Republic Tv - Cvoter	6	7	1	1

Date published	Polling agency				Others	Lead
Date published	Polling agency	NDA	UPA	AIUDF	Others	Lead
Mar 2019	Times Now-VMR	37.0%	32.4%	12.8%	14.3%	4.60%
Jan 2019	Tv - Cvoter	44.3%	44.6%	2.5%	8.6%	0.3%

Bihar (40)

Date published	Polling agency			Lead
Date published	Polling agency	NDA	UPA	Lead
06 April 2019	IndiaTV-CNX	29	11	18
05 April 2019	Republic TV - Jan ki Baat	31	9	22
Jan 2019	ABP News - Cvoter	35	5	30
Nov 2018	ABP News- C Voter	34	6	28
Oct 2018	ABP News- CSDS	22	18	4
Oct 2018	ABP News- CSDS	31	9	22

Date published	Polling agency			Others	Lead
Date published	Polling agency	NDA	UPA	Others	Lead
Jan 2019	Republic Tv - Cvoter	45.1%	37.5%	17.4%	7.6%

Chhattisgarh (11)

Date published	Polling agency			Lead
Date published	Polling agency	NDA	UPA	Lead
06 April 2019	India TV - CNX	3	8	1
March 2019	News Nation	5	6	1
Jan 2019	India TV - CNX	5	6	1
Oct 2018	Times Now	8	3	5
Oct 2018	ABP News- CSDS	9	2	7
Oct 2018	Times Now	8	3	5

Date published	Polling agency				Others	Lead
Date published	Polling agency	NDA	UPA	JCC	Others	Lead
Jan 2019	Republic Tv - Cvoter	43.4%	41.1%	7.5%	8.1%	2.3%

Goa (2)

Date published	Polling agency			Lead
Date published	Polling agency	NDA	UPA	Lead
06 April 2019	India TV - CNX	2	–	2
Jan 2019	Republic Tv - Cvoter	1	1	–

Date published	Polling agency			Others	Lead
Date published	Polling agency	NDA	UPA	Others	Lead
Jan 2019	Republic Tv - Cvoter	43.7%	38.5%	17.8%	5.2%

Gujarat (26)

Date published	Polling agency			Lead
Date published	Polling agency	NDA	UPA	Lead
06 April 2019	India TV-CNX	24	2	22
March 2019	News Nation	21	5	16
Jan 2019	Republic Tv - Cvoter	24	2	22

Date published	Polling agency			Others	Lead
Date published	Polling agency	NDA	UPA	Others	Lead
Jan 2019	Republic Tv - Cvoter	54.1%	39.1%	6.8%	15%

Haryana (10)

Date published	Polling agency				Lead
Date published	Polling agency	NDA	UPA	INLD	Lead
06 April 2019	India TV - CNX	9	1	–	8
Jan 2019	ABP News - Cvoter	7	3	–	4
Oct 2018	ABP News- CSDS	6	3	1	3

Date published	Polling agency				Others	Lead
Date published	Polling agency	NDA	UPA	INLD	Others	Lead
Jan 2019	Republic Tv - Cvoter	44.7%	33.6%	17.8%	3.9%	11.1%

Himachal Pradesh (4)

Date published	Polling agency			Lead
Date published	Polling agency	NDA	UPA	Lead
05 April 2019	Republic TV - Jan ki Baat	4	–	4

Date published	Polling agency			Others	Lead
Date published	Polling agency	NDA	UPA	Others	Lead
Jan 2019	Republic Tv - Cvoter	49.5%	38.7%	11.9%	10.2%

Jammu and Kashmir (6)

Date published	Polling agency			Lead
Date published	Polling agency	NDA	UPA	Lead
06 April 2019	India TV - CNX	2	4	2
Mar 2019	Times Now	2	4	2
Jan 2019	Republic Tv - Cvoter	2	4	2

Date published	Polling agency				Others	Lead
Date published	Polling agency	NDA	UPA	JKPDP	Others	Lead
Jan 2019	Republic Tv - Cvoter	36%	40.6%	13.4%	10%	4.6%

Jharkhand (14)

Date published	Polling agency					Lead
Date published	Polling agency	NDA	UPA	JMM	JVM	Lead
06 April 2019	India TV - CNX	9	5	–	4
05 April 2019	Republic TV - Jan ki Baat	10	3		1	7
Jan 2019	Republic Tv - Cvoter	5	8		1	3
Jan 2019	VDP Associates	4	5	4	1	1

Date published	Polling agency					Lead
Date published	Polling agency	NDA	UPA	JMM	JVM	Lead
Jan 2019	Republic Tv - Cvoter	41.9%	46.5%		10.1%	4.6%

Karnataka (28)

Date published	Polling agency			Lead
Date published	Polling agency	NDA	UPA	Lead
05 April 2019	Republic Tv - Jan ki Baat	18	10	8
Jan 2019	Republic Tv - Cvoter	14	14	–

Date published	Polling agency			Others	Lead
Date published	Polling agency	NDA	UPA	Others	Lead
Jan 2019	Republic Tv - Cvoter	44%	47.9%	8.1%	3.9%

Kerala (20)

Date published	Polling agency				Lead
Date published	Polling agency	UDF	LDF	NDA	Lead
05 April 2019	India TV - CNX	15	4	1	11
March 2019	News Nation	15	4	1	11
March 2019	Times Now-VMR	16	3	1	12
Jan 2019	Republic Tv - Cvoter	16	4	–	12
Oct 2018	ABP News- CSDS	12	6	2	6

Date published	Polling agency				Lead
Date published	Polling agency	UDF	LDF	NDA	Lead
Mar 2019	Times Now-VMR	45%	29.2%	21.7%	15.8%
Jan 2019	Republic Tv - Cvoter	43.15%	35.1%	12.7%	10.8%

Madhya Pradesh (29)

Date published	Polling agency			Lead
Date published	Polling agency	NDA	UPA	Lead
06 Apr 2019	IndiaTV-CNX	21	8	13
05 Apr 2019	Republic TV-Jan ki Baat	25	4	21
Mar 2019	Times Now-VMR	24	5	19
Jan 2019	ABP News -Cvoter	23	6	17
Jan 2019	India TV - CNX	18	11	7
Nov 2018	ABP News - C Voters	22	7	15
Oct 2018	Times Now	21	8	13
Oct 2018	ABP News- CSDS	23	6	17

Date published	Polling agency			Others	Lead
Date published	Polling agency	NDA	UPA	Others	Lead
Mar 2019	Times Now-VMR	49.20%	39.70%	4.30%	9.5%
Jan 2019	Republic Tv - Cvoter	48.4%	44.1%	7.5%	4.3%

Maharashtra (48)

Date published	Polling agency					Lead
Date published	Polling agency	NDA	SHS	UPA	NCP	Lead
06 Apr 2019	India TV - CNX	34		13		21
05 Apr 2019	Republic TV - Jan ki Baat	36		12		24
Jan 2019	ABP News - Cvoter	28		20		8
Jan 2019	VDP Associates	23	2	23		–
Jan 2019	India TV - CNX	22	8	18		4
Nov 2018	ABP News- C Voter	23	5	14	6	9
Oct 2018	ABP News- CSDS	16	2	30		14
		36		12		24
		22	7	11	8	11

Date published	Polling agency					Lead
Date published	Polling agency	NDA	SHS	UPA	NCP	Lead
Jan 2019	Republic Tv - Cvoter	49.8%		42.4%		7.4%

Manipur (2)

Date published	Polling agency				Lead
Date published	Polling agency	UPA	NDA	NPF	Lead
Mar 2019	Times Now	1	1		–

Meghalaya (2)

Mizoram (1)

Date published	Polling agency				Lead
Date published	Polling agency	UPA	MNF	NDA	Lead
Mar 2019	Times Now	0	1		1

Nagaland (1)

Date published	Polling agency				Lead
Date published	Polling agency	UPA	NPF	NDA	Lead
March 2019	Times Now-VMR	0	1		1

Odisha (21)

Date published	Polling agency				Lead
Date published	Polling agency	NDA	UPA	BJD	Lead
06 April 2019	India TV - CNX	6	1	14	8
05 April 2019	Republic TV - Jan ki Baat	10	1	10	–
Jan 2019	ABP News - Cvoter	12	–	9	3
Nov 2018	ABP News- C Voter	13	3	5	6
Oct 2018	ABP News- CSDS	13	2	6	7

Date published	Polling agency				Lead
Date published	Polling agency	NDA	UPA	BJD	Lead
Jan 2019	Republic Tv - Cvoter	33.2%	26.2%	30.7%	2.5%

Punjab (13)

Date published	Polling agency				Lead
Date published	Polling agency	NDA	UPA	AAP	Lead
05 April 2019	Republic TV-Jan ki Baat	3	9	1	6
Mar 2019	Zee 24 Taas	1	10	2	6
Mar 2019	India TV	3	9	1	6
Jan 2019	ABP News - Cvoter	1	12	0	11
Oct 2018	ABP News- CSDS	1	12	0	11

Date published	Polling agency				Lead
Date published	Polling agency	NDA	UPA	AAP	Lead
Jan 2019	Republic Tv - Cvoter	34%	44%.7	16.9%	10.7%

Rajasthan (25)

Date published	Polling agency			Lead
Date published	Polling agency	NDA	UPA	Lead
06 April 2019	India TV - CNX	17	8	9
05 April 2019	Republic TV-Jan ki Baat	21	4	17
March 2019	News Nation	17	8	9
Jan 2019	India TV - CNX	15	10	5
Jan 2019	VDP Associates	12	13	1
Nov 2018	ABP News- C Voters	17	8	9
Oct 2018	Times Now	24	1	23
Oct 2018	ABP News- CSDS	18	7	11

Date published	Polling agency			Others	Lead
Date published	Polling agency	NDA	UPA	Others	Lead
Jan 2019	Republic Tv - Cvoter	49.4%	44%	6.7%	5.4%

Sikkim (1)

Date published	Polling agency				Lead
Date published	Polling agency	UPA	SDF	NDA	Lead
08 April 2019	News X	0	1		1
06 April 2019	India TV - CNX	0	1		1
March 2019	Times Now	0	1		1

Tamil Nadu (39)

Date published	Polling agency				Lead
Date published	Polling agency	UPA	NDA	AIADMK	Lead
08 Apr 2019	Times Now-VMR	33	6		27
08 Apr 2019	PuthiyaThalaimurai TV	31-33	6-8		27
06 April 2019	IndiaTV-CNX	21	13		8
05 Apr 2019	People studies-Loyola College	33	3-5		28
Mar 2019	News Nation	24	15		9
Mar 2019	Times	18	15	6	3
Mar 2019	India TV-CNX	22	15	2	7

· ADMK is part of NDA alliance in Tamil Nadu.

Telangana (17)

Date published	Polling agency					Lead
Date published	Polling agency	TRS	UPA	BJP	AIMIM	Lead
Mar 2019	Times Now-VMR	12	1	2	1	12
Jan 2019	Republic Tv - Cvoter	16	–	–	1	15

Date published	Polling agency					Lead
Date published	Polling agency	UPA	TRS	AIMIM	NDA	Lead
Mar 2019	Times Now-VMR	30.30%	41.20%	7.4%	17.60%	10.9%
Jan 2019	Republic Tv - Cvoter	29%	42.4%	7.7%	12.7%	13.4%

Tripura (2)

Date published	Polling agency				Lead
Date published	Polling agency	LDF	NDA	UPA	Lead
04 April 2019	Republic TV - Jan ki Baat	0	2	0	2
Mar 2019	Times Now-VMR	0	2	0	2
March 2019	India TV-CNX	1	1	0	–
Jan 2019	Times Now-VMR	0	2	0	2
Dec 2018	India Today	1	1	0	–

Uttar Pradesh (80)

Date published	Polling agency					Lead
Date published	Polling agency	NDA	UPA	SP	BSP	Lead
06 April 2019	India TV-CNX	41	4	35		6
05 April 2019	Republic TV-Jan ki Baat	47	4	29		18
03 April 2019	ABP News - Nielsen	36	2	42		6
01 April 2019	India TV-CNX	46	4	30		16
March 2019	Times Now-VMR	42	2	36		6
March 2019	News Nation	35	2	43		8
March 2019	India TV-CNX	41	4	35		6
Jan 2019	Times Now-VMR	27	2	51		24
Jan 2019	ABP News - Cvoter	25	4	51		26
Jan 2019	India Today	18	4	58		40
Jan 2019	ABP News- C Voter	31	5	44		13
Nov 2018	ABP News- C Voter	31	5	44		13
Oct 2018	ABP News- CSDS	36	2	42		6

Date published	Polling agency					Lead
Date published	Polling agency	NDA	UPA	SP	BSP	Lead
Jan 2019	Republic Tv - Cvoter	42%	12.7%	43%		1%

Uttarakhand (5)

Date published	Polling agency			Lead
Date published	Polling agency	NDA	UPA	Lead
05 April 2019	Republic TV - Jan ki Baat	5	–	5
Jan 2018	Republic Tv - Cvoter	5	–	5
Jan 2019	India TV - CNX	4	1	3

Date published	Polling agency			Others	Lead
Date published	Polling agency	NDA	UPA	Others	Lead
Jan 2019	Republic Tv - Cvoter	49.2%	33.5%	17.3%	15.7%

West Bengal (42)

Date published	Polling agency					Lead
Date published	Polling agency	NDA	UPA	AITC	LF	Lead
06 Apr 2019	India TV - CNX	12	1	28	1	16
05 Apr 2019	Republic TV - Jan ki Baat	13	3	25	1	12
Mar 2019	ABP News- Nielsen	8	3	31	–	23
Jan 2019	Republic Tv - Cvoter	7	1	34	0	27
Nov 2018	ABP News- C Voter	9	1	32	–	23

Date published	Polling agency					Lead
Date published	Polling agency	NDA	UPA	AITC	LF	Lead
Jan 2019	Republic Tv - Cvoter	18.8%	9.6%	31.47%	29.4%	11.9%

Union territories

Andaman and Nicobar Islands (1)

Date published	Polling agency			Lead
Date published	Polling agency	NDA	UPA	Lead
Jan 2019	Republic Tv -Cvoter	1	–	1

Date published	Polling agency			Others	Lead
Date published	Polling agency	NDA	UPA	Others	Lead
Jan 2019	Republic Tv -Cvoter	47.3%	40.1%	10.4%	7.2%

Chandigarh (1)

Date published	Polling agency				Lead
Date published	Polling agency	NDA	UPA	AAP	Lead
Jan 2019	Republic Tv -Cvoter	1	–	–	1

Date published	Polling agency				Others	Lead
Date published	Polling agency	NDA	UPA	AAP	Others	Lead
Jan 2019	Republic Tv -Cvoter	47.3%	33.7%	8.6%	10.4%	13.7%

Dadra and Nagar Haveli (1)

Date published	Polling agency			Lead
Date published	Polling agency	NDA	UPA	Lead
Jan 2019	Republic Tv -Cvoter	1	–	1

Date published	Polling agency			Others	Lead
Date published	Polling agency	NDA	UPA	Others	Lead
Jan 2019	Republic Tv -Cvoter	50.1%	40.2%	9.7%	9.9%

Daman and Diu (1)

Lakshadweep (1)

Date published	Polling agency			Lead
Date published	Polling agency	UPA	NDA	Lead
Jan 2019	Republic Tv - Cvoter	1	–	1

Date published	Polling agency				Lead
Date published	Polling agency	UPA	NDA	NCP	Lead
Jan 2019	Republic Tv - Cvoter	65.1%	2.1%	30.5%	34.6%

Puducherry (1)

Date published	Polling agency			Lead
Date published	Polling agency	UPA	NDA	Lead
Jan 2019	Republic Tv - Cvoter	1	–	1

Date published	Polling agency			Others	Lead
Date published	Polling agency	UPA	NDA	Others	Lead
Jan 2019	Republic Tv - Cvoter	49.7%	14.7%	35.6%	35%

NCT of Delhi (7)

Date published	Polling agency				Lead
Date published	Polling agency	NDA	UPA	AAP	Lead
06 April 2019	India TV - CNX	7	0	0	7
March 2019	News Nation	6	0	1	5
Jan 2019	India TV - CNX	5	1	1	4
Oct 2018	ABP News- CSDS	4	–	3	1

COURTESY OF THE GOOGLE SEARCH SERVICES,WIKIPEDIA,HINDUSTAN TIMES OF INDIA

PAEDIA EXPRESS MULTIMEDIA

Friday 12 April 2019

2019 OPINION POLLS DATA BANK OF THE INDIAN ELECTIONS OUTLINED!!!

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